Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.028902 0.031054 0.033216 0.035545 0.037982 0.040454 0.043147
2025-12-21 0.024025 0.027329 0.030770 0.034607 0.038754 0.043088 0.047949
2025-12-28 0.021968 0.026009 0.030325 0.035248 0.040684 0.046476 0.053088
2026-01-04 0.020094 0.024639 0.029598 0.035366 0.041847 0.048862 0.056987
2026-01-11 0.018411 0.023316 0.028776 0.035238 0.042612 0.050702 0.060188
2026-01-18 0.017403 0.022670 0.028635 0.035799 0.044082 0.053272 0.064157
2026-01-25 0.016226 0.021740 0.028090 0.035826 0.044883 0.055040 0.067183
2026-02-01 0.015172 0.020884 0.027570 0.035826 0.045604 0.056678 0.070032
2026-02-08 0.014233 0.020111 0.027098 0.035837 0.046298 0.058255 0.072787
2026-02-15 0.013335 0.019336 0.026579 0.035750 0.046843 0.059632 0.075291
2026-02-22 0.012535 0.018642 0.026121 0.035702 0.047407 0.061009 0.077779
2026-03-01 0.011666 0.017813 0.025456 0.035367 0.047594 0.061918 0.079702
2026-03-08 0.010727 0.016877 0.024658 0.034883 0.047636 0.062709 0.081561
2026-03-15 0.009664 0.015730 0.023553 0.033987 0.047156 0.062870 0.082680
2026-03-22 0.009319 0.015538 0.023667 0.034620 0.048556 0.065292 0.086505
2026-03-29 0.008798 0.015070 0.023394 0.034736 0.049297 0.066905 0.089353
2026-04-05 0.008222 0.014495 0.022951 0.034610 0.049713 0.068109 0.091698
2026-04-12 0.007938 0.014321 0.023037 0.035164 0.050988 0.070369 0.095333
2026-04-19 0.007486 0.013878 0.022735 0.035191 0.051576 0.071772 0.097919
2026-04-26 0.007055 0.013443 0.022426 0.035191 0.052118 0.073110 0.100422
2026-05-03 0.006656 0.013034 0.022135 0.035201 0.052662 0.074444 0.102919
2026-05-10 0.006252 0.012596 0.021785 0.035116 0.053069 0.075598 0.105189
2026-05-17 0.005886 0.012197 0.021473 0.035069 0.053517 0.076797 0.107512